Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000141 0.000155 0.000170 0.000187 0.000207 0.000228 0.000252
2025-10-26 0.000113 0.000134 0.000158 0.000188 0.000224 0.000267 0.000322
2025-11-02 0.000095 0.000119 0.000147 0.000185 0.000234 0.000297 0.000383
2025-11-09 0.000084 0.000108 0.000140 0.000185 0.000245 0.000327 0.000446
2025-11-16 0.000074 0.000099 0.000133 0.000182 0.000252 0.000350 0.000501
2025-11-23 0.000066 0.000091 0.000125 0.000177 0.000254 0.000367 0.000550
2025-11-30 0.000061 0.000087 0.000123 0.000180 0.000267 0.000401 0.000627
2025-12-07 0.000058 0.000084 0.000122 0.000183 0.000281 0.000437 0.000712
2025-12-14 0.000053 0.000078 0.000117 0.000180 0.000284 0.000455 0.000768
2025-12-21 0.000048 0.000072 0.000110 0.000173 0.000280 0.000462 0.000807
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000069 0.000108 0.000174 0.000289 0.000490 0.000888
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000067 0.000106 0.000175 0.000298 0.000521 0.000976
2026-01-11 0.000040 0.000064 0.000102 0.000173 0.000303 0.000544 0.001057
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000061 0.000101 0.000174 0.000314 0.000582 0.001174
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000058 0.000097 0.000172 0.000318 0.000606 0.001268
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000056 0.000095 0.000172 0.000325 0.000638 0.001382
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000053 0.000092 0.000169 0.000327 0.000659 0.001477
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000050 0.000088 0.000165 0.000326 0.000673 0.001555
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000049 0.000088 0.000167 0.000339 0.000720 0.001724
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000048 0.000087 0.000170 0.000353 0.000772 0.001918
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000046 0.000084 0.000167 0.000353 0.000790 0.002023
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000043 0.000080 0.000161 0.000346 0.000790 0.002078
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000042 0.000079 0.000161 0.000355 0.000830 0.002257